RiskyEats

Semiannual closure-pressure outlook · Statistical risk modeling

Official records + calculations Counts and statistics derived from cited public records. Definitions →

Forecast Explorer

One selected model trajectory with history, baseline, and limitations.

One forecast at a time, with history, baseline, and model limits. Forecasts are model projections—not official records—and remain separate from observed inspection, license, and closure events.

Updated 2026-09-01 14:33 UTC

Forecast rows 37,230 RiskyEats calculation · current published snapshot · Florida
Source Time-series forecast RiskyEats calculation · current published snapshot · Florida

Charts

city_closure_rate_weekly forecast for city=jacksonville

city_closure_rate_weekly forecast for city=jacksonville. 90 plotted observations, ranging from 0.00 to 0.00. Open the data table for exact values.

Interactive chart loading; the data table below is the accessible fallback.

View data table

Forecast trajectory summary
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=jacksonville -0.001 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=miami -0.000 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=tampa -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=orlando -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=kissimmee -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=new port richey -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=oviedo -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=sarasota -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=daytona beach -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=fort myers -0.000 0.001 0.001
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=opa-locka -0.001 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=tallahassee -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=ocoee -0.001 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=gainesville -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=north fort myers -0.001 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=fort lauderdale -0.000 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=miami beach -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=pensacola -0.001 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=destin -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=west palm beach -0.001 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=largo -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=lake buena vista +0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=holly hill -0.000 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=naples -0.000 0.001 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=panama city -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=hallandale -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=key west -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=sunny isles beach -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=orange park -0.000 0.000 0.000
city DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly city=ocala -0.001 0.001 0.000
closure events daily metro metro=florida-keys +0.493 0.251 0.744
closure events daily metro metro=fort-lauderdale +3.819 0.300 4.120
closure events daily metro metro=jacksonville +5.410 1.537 6.948
closure events daily metro metro=miami +4.062 1.078 5.140
closure events daily metro metro=north-florida +5.056 1.293 6.349
closure events daily metro metro=orlando +5.232 2.235 7.467
closure events daily metro metro=southwest-florida +2.571 0.417 2.988
closure events daily metro metro=tampa-bay +5.309 1.542 6.851
closure events daily metro metro=treasure-coast +1.997 0.290 2.287
closure events daily metro metro=west-palm-beach +5.938 0.851 6.789
closures daily statewide statewide=statewide +33.968 8.497 42.466
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=duval -0.000 0.001 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=dade +0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=hillsborough -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=seminole -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=orange +0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=pinellas -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=pasco -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=lee -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=manatee -0.000 0.001 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=marion -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=osceola -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=palm beach -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=sarasota -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=monroe -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=bay -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=volusia -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=brevard -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=broward -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=charlotte -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=leon -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=st. johns -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=alachua -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=escambia -0.001 0.001 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=okaloosa -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=lake +0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=martin -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=clay -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=polk -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=collier -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=hernando -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=citrus -0.000 0.000 0.000
county DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly county=santa rosa -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=bar +0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=bakery -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=brazilian -0.001 0.002 0.001
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=american bbq -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=cocktail bar +0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=sports bar -0.001 0.001 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=sandwiches -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=bagels -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=american -0.001 0.001 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=pub -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=spanish +0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=chicken +0.000 0.001 0.001
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=fast food -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=cafe +0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=tacos -0.001 0.001 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=brunch -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=donuts -0.002 0.003 0.001
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=diner +0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=desserts -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=lounge -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=hot dogs -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=juice/smoothie -0.001 0.001 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=australian steak -0.002 0.002 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=salad bar -0.000 0.000 0.000
cuisine DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly top30 cuisine=froyo -0.000 0.000 0.000
eor events daily statewide statewide=statewide -1.118 8.497 7.379
hp citations daily statewide statewide=statewide +1278.609 237.904 1516.513
hp violations daily metro metro=florida-keys +44.140 4.162 48.303
hp violations daily metro metro=fort-lauderdale +150.729 21.039 171.767
hp violations daily metro metro=jacksonville +149.264 29.940 179.204
hp violations daily metro metro=miami +153.943 49.995 203.938
hp violations daily metro metro=north-florida +67.755 18.462 86.216
hp violations daily metro metro=orlando +266.741 40.502 307.243
hp violations daily metro metro=southwest-florida +101.850 31.608 133.458
hp violations daily metro metro=tampa-bay +125.424 24.683 150.107
hp violations daily metro metro=treasure-coast +59.603 8.990 68.592
hp violations daily metro metro=west-palm-beach +115.573 37.610 153.183
inspection volume daily metro metro=florida-keys +31.968 4.211 36.179
inspection volume daily metro metro=fort-lauderdale +110.422 18.304 128.726
inspection volume daily metro metro=jacksonville +131.395 20.693 152.088
inspection volume daily metro metro=miami +195.179 41.302 236.481
inspection volume daily metro metro=north-florida +109.873 26.859 136.731
inspection volume daily metro metro=orlando +302.554 47.135 349.689
inspection volume daily metro metro=southwest-florida +147.433 31.038 178.471
inspection volume daily metro metro=tampa-bay +186.796 32.078 218.874
inspection volume daily metro metro=treasure-coast +54.682 6.930 61.612
inspection volume daily metro metro=west-palm-beach +71.486 15.811 87.297
inspections daily statewide statewide=statewide +1479.940 223.787 1703.727
new licenses daily statewide statewide=statewide +80.527 34.634 115.160
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=american -309.523 727.005 417.482
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=american bbq -27.205 77.592 50.387
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=american steak -68.248 146.612 78.364
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=asian -62.083 149.501 87.418
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=bagels -58.677 131.039 72.362
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=bakery -183.321 416.332 233.011
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=bar -419.484 880.920 461.436
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=bbq -27.394 107.320 79.926
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=brunch -82.007 353.430 271.423
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=burgers -136.264 421.012 284.749
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cafe -274.120 836.658 562.538
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cajun/creole -3.228 6.523 3.295
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=chicken -72.150 228.123 155.973
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=chinese -485.734 994.831 509.097
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cocktail bar -17.849 69.366 51.517
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cuban -162.560 387.353 224.793
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=deli -58.025 160.697 102.672
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=desserts -37.525 75.546 38.021
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=diner -97.252 369.791 272.538
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=fast food -58.930 785.401 726.470
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=fondue -1.584 5.351 3.767
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=french +2.244 20.857 23.101
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=gastropub -53.260 101.646 48.386
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=greek -59.296 133.708 74.411
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=health food -17.621 49.762 32.140
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=ice cream -105.495 242.904 137.410
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=indian -104.405 269.128 164.724
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=italian -250.574 542.974 292.400
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=japanese -94.153 249.665 155.512
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=juice/smoothie -25.283 94.967 69.684
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=latin american -156.754 334.986 178.232
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=mexican -343.449 939.044 595.594
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pizza -305.604 1258.668 953.064
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=ramen -16.500 42.164 25.664
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=sandwiches -150.180 478.806 328.626
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=seafood -247.950 812.804 564.854
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=southern -37.712 86.526 48.814
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=southern bbq -18.107 54.596 36.489
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=sports bar -135.175 359.634 224.459
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=sushi -351.010 761.717 410.707
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=tacos -180.031 338.044 158.013
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=tex-mex -7.386 28.038 20.652
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=thai -122.090 276.231 154.141
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=vegetarian -7.267 18.174 10.907
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=vietnamese -39.719 133.301 93.582
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=wine bar -24.159 67.438 43.280
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=wings -39.438 95.877 56.439
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=argentine -47.851 80.043 32.191
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=australian steak -16.743 21.947 5.204
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=bistro -0.563 45.804 45.241
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=boba -23.682 47.397 23.715
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=brazilian -38.662 48.499 9.838
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=breakfast -24.471 58.630 34.159
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=burritos -23.002 80.740 57.738
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=caribbean -70.149 151.121 80.972
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=colombian -53.917 134.289 80.372
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=dim sum -11.892 24.639 12.747
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=donuts +16.637 46.443 63.080
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=filipino -7.785 9.881 2.096
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=fish & chips -1.160 8.951 7.791
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=fried chicken -13.597 30.928 17.331
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=froyo -2.505 11.688 9.184
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=german +2.869 2.392 5.261
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=haitian -23.280 60.525 37.245
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=jamaican -32.886 80.422 47.536
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=lebanese -1.889 7.350 5.461
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=lounge -30.866 95.520 64.654
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=mediterranean -34.749 122.642 87.893
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=middle eastern -25.247 47.604 22.357
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pan-asian -7.022 13.945 6.923
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pancakes -9.630 16.695 7.065
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=peruvian -68.365 180.835 112.470
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=polish -1.717 6.914 5.197
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pub -96.811 163.197 66.386
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=puerto rican -13.964 38.033 24.069
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=salad bar -25.762 55.173 29.412
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=spanish -32.836 78.121 45.285
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=steak -12.460 61.527 49.066
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=subs -6.193 13.346 7.153
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=tiki bar -23.713 51.086 27.373
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=turkish -17.385 29.613 12.228
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=venezuelan -40.359 78.384 38.025
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=vietnamese noodles -7.773 18.138 10.365
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=american tapas -1.839 2.388 0.548
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=brazilian steak -8.951 14.255 5.303
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=dominican -13.152 24.698 11.545
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=european -4.905 11.676 6.770
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=hot dogs -10.786 23.790 13.004
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=juice bar -17.559 25.542 7.984
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=korean -40.971 72.496 31.525
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=korean bbq -3.609 6.479 2.870
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=latin chicken +0.641 2.371 3.012
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pho -1.761 7.285 5.524
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=popsicles -1.320 3.568 2.248
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=portuguese +0.852 5.353 6.205
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=raw bar -6.015 9.159 3.144
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=rotisserie -0.887 5.158 4.271
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=salad +0.636 11.608 12.244
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=spanish tapas -4.719 15.123 10.404
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=tea -5.353 9.559 4.206
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=vegan/veg -9.269 19.814 10.545
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=venezuelan steak -1.739 3.651 1.912
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=african -5.395 7.316 1.921
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=british -1.264 1.998 0.734
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=chinese bbq -4.610 8.496 3.886
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cupcakes -3.061 5.470 2.409
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=fusion -5.833 9.037 3.204
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=noodles +0.493 10.151 10.644
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=popcorn -0.099 0.266 0.168
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=club -1.030 1.977 0.947
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=japanese noodles -12.656 15.054 2.399
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pastries -0.992 5.738 4.746
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=russian -0.568 1.837 1.269
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=smoothies -0.818 8.052 7.233
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=soul food -1.847 3.369 1.523
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=south american -7.282 14.334 7.052
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=vegan -3.275 5.903 2.628
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=crêperie -0.443 3.911 3.468
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=french steak +1.263 0.249 1.513
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=indonesian -0.233 1.597 1.364
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=moroccan -3.994 6.076 2.082
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=pies -1.391 3.622 2.231
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=waffles +2.526 3.066 5.592
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=argentine steak -15.338 22.232 6.894
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=israeli -3.561 6.394 2.833
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=italian steak -4.556 8.857 4.302
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=japanese steak -0.271 7.928 7.657
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=dumplings -4.017 13.030 9.013
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=oyster bar -0.996 5.520 4.524
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=chinese dumplings -6.735 13.364 6.629
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=new american -4.250 13.625 9.375
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=ethiopian +1.208 1.733 2.941
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=hot pot -1.500 2.534 1.034
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=lobster -1.277 1.700 0.422
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=açaí -5.781 8.824 3.043
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=spanish bbq -0.320 1.007 0.687
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=tapas -7.511 11.921 4.411
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=cheese -3.003 6.163 3.160
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=chinese noodles -1.185 10.507 9.322
severity score weekly cuisine cuisine=candy -2.098 4.000 1.903
severity sum daily metro metro=florida-keys +562.911 52.254 615.165
severity sum daily metro metro=fort-lauderdale +1730.020 231.862 1961.882
severity sum daily metro metro=miami +2451.350 693.102 3144.453
severity sum daily metro metro=jacksonville +1774.148 364.593 2138.741
severity sum daily metro metro=southwest-florida +1399.546 381.050 1780.597
severity sum daily metro metro=north-florida +780.775 236.227 1017.001
severity sum daily metro metro=orlando +3669.410 588.088 4257.498
severity sum daily metro metro=tampa-bay +1687.908 323.059 2010.968
severity sum daily metro metro=treasure-coast +749.450 100.723 850.173
severity sum daily metro metro=west-palm-beach +1149.208 357.601 1506.809
shared address DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly statewide=statewide +0.000 0.000 0.000
strip mall DBPR inactive/delinquent-license rate weekly statewide=statewide -0.000 0.000 0.000
sunbiz dissolutions weekly statewide statewide=statewide +460.316 0.000 460.316

Data sources: Statistical risk modeling. Built from DBPR public inspection records, Florida Sunbiz business filings, and Foursquare/OSS location data. All counts are derived from public records — no estimates or projections unless labeled as forecast.

Time-series forecasts and anomaly detection use NVIDIA NV-Tesseract. Model output is labeled separately from official records.

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